Model line
Detroit Mercy −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Detroit Mercy 64%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Detroit Mercy a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Dakota offense vs Detroit Mercy defense
| North Dakota O | Stat | Detroit Mercy D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#134 | Tempo | #10169.7 |
| 49.4#272 | eFG% | #22652.2 |
| 14.1#26 | TOV% | #32414.4 |
| 27.4#286 | ORB% | #19230.8 |
| 37.8#108 | FT rate | #25337.6 |
| 8.3#79 | Block% | #1659.5 |
| 42.4#352 | Assist% | #32458.3 |
| 49.7#267 | 2P% | #26753.8 |
| 32.7#247 | 3P% | #13833.3 |
| 69.5#282 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#153 | 3PA rate | #7942.6 |
Detroit Mercy offense vs North Dakota defense
| Detroit Mercy O | Stat | North Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#101 | Tempo | #13469.2 |
| 49.5#264 | eFG% | #35356.5 |
| 16.0#137 | TOV% | #3719.4 |
| 33.3#82 | ORB% | #27732.4 |
| 32.6#248 | FT rate | #34443.8 |
| 7.9#50 | Block% | #2707.8 |
| 48.5#276 | Assist% | #33158.8 |
| 48.1#304 | 2P% | #34657.2 |
| 35.1#106 | 3P% | #34537.1 |
| 78.9#4 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#343 | 3PA rate | #7442.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Dakota
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota St.170 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | St. Thomas162 | W 67–66 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Denver243 | W 83–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Dakota St.170 | L 63–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | South Dakota St.237 | L 83–91 |
Detroit Mercy
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wright St.150 | L 63–66 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Robert Morris163 | W 70–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 84–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Oakland208 | W 95–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Robert Morris163 | L 62–73 |
