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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Iowa St. · #6 · B12 · 0–0Kansas · #8 · B12 · 0–0Mon, Mar 1 · 9:00 PM ETESPNAllen Fieldhouse · Lawrence, KS
Model line
Kansas −7.2
Win probability
Kansas 78%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Kansas home
22%Win probability78%

The model makes Kansas a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Iowa St. offense vs Kansas defense

Iowa St. OStatKansas D
68.5#172Tempo#18668.3
56.6#15eFG%#245.1
15.0#61TOV%#33913.9
35.8#32ORB%#16330.1
34.1#204FT rate#3027.7
9.9#230Block%#715.3
58.6#48Assist%#5347.3
55.5#492P%#344.5
38.9#63P%#2230.5
67.6#332FT%—
38.6#1993PA rate#10841.5

Kansas offense vs Iowa St. defense

Kansas OStatIowa St. D
68.3#186Tempo#17268.5
51.3#182eFG%#7849.4
15.4#98TOV%#422.3
29.3#225ORB%#7428.2
32.2#255FT rate#3327.9
8.2#70Block%#2118.7
52.7#170Assist%#23654.4
51.0#2122P%#12150.6
34.6#1423P%#6131.9
76.9#35FT%—
35.5#2593PA rate#8742.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Iowa St.

Fri, Mar 27NTennessee11L 62–76
Sun, Mar 22NKentucky20W 82–63
Fri, Mar 20NTennessee St.204W 108–74
Fri, Mar 13NArizona5L 80–82
Thu, Mar 12NTexas Tech12W 75–53

Kansas

Sun, Mar 22NSt. John's25L 65–67
Fri, Mar 20NCal Baptist216W 68–60
Fri, Mar 13NHouston4L 47–69
Thu, Mar 12NTCU50W 78–73
Sat, Mar 7HKansas St.96W 104–85