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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Arizona · #5 · B12 · 0–0BYU · #28 · B12 · 0–0Mon, Feb 22 · 9:00 PM ETESPNMarriott Center · Provo, UT
Model line
BYU −2.9
Win probability
BYU 62%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
BYU home
38%Win probability62%

The model makes BYU a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Arizona offense vs BYU defense

Arizona OStatBYU D
71.3#39Tempo#7970.3
55.1#37eFG%#16651.2
15.1#68TOV%#19016.4
38.3#4ORB%#13729.6
43.2#18FT rate#4228.9
8.4#89Block%#5611.8
55.3#106Assist%#22354.0
55.4#512P%#10350.1
36.3#463P%#26335.3
73.2#161FT%—
26.7#3633PA rate#19539.0

BYU offense vs Arizona defense

BYU OStatArizona D
70.3#79Tempo#3971.3
54.4#55eFG%#144.8
15.2#75TOV%#17216.7
34.3#61ORB%#3126.8
34.4#198FT rate#2427.3
8.1#62Block%#7611.2
45.0#334Assist%#9949.4
56.2#412P%#243.5
34.5#1463P%#4431.4
74.7#91FT%—
39.8#1723PA rate#25637.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Arizona

Sat, Apr 4NMichigan24L 73–91
Sat, Mar 28NPurdue29W 79–64
Thu, Mar 26NArkansas23W 109–88
Sun, Mar 22NUtah St.56W 78–66
Fri, Mar 20NLIU262W 92–58

BYU

Thu, Mar 19NTexas10L 71–79
Thu, Mar 12NHouston4L 66–73
Wed, Mar 11NWest Virginia51W 68–48
Tue, Mar 10NKansas St.96W 105–91
Sat, Mar 7HTexas Tech12W 82–76