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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Houston · #4 · B12 · 0–0Texas Tech · #12 · B12 · 0–0Mon, Feb 15 · 9:00 PM ETESPNUnited Supermarkets Arena · Lubbock, TX
Model line
Texas Tech −4.7
Win probability
Texas Tech 69%
Projected tempo
68.2
possessions
Site
Texas Tech home
31%Win probability69%

The model makes Texas Tech a 4.7-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Houston offense vs Texas Tech defense

Houston OStatTexas Tech D
64.9#332Tempo#20667.9
52.2#138eFG%#8049.4
12.9#5TOV%#31014.7
36.0#26ORB%#16730.1
27.0#351FT rate#9931.7
6.3#6Block%#1639.6
52.0#192Assist%#641.7
52.0#1672P%#12550.7
34.9#1263P%#4231.3
77.2#29FT%—
40.5#1563PA rate#31935.0

Texas Tech offense vs Houston defense

Texas Tech OStatHouston D
67.9#206Tempo#33264.9
56.7#13eFG%#1246.0
15.8#126TOV%#1320.7
33.3#84ORB%#17230.2
27.3#350FT rate#27738.6
7.4#26Block%#3512.6
55.3#107Assist%#21253.4
54.1#832P%#945.2
39.7#33P%#4531.4
71.2#232FT%—
47.8#263PA rate#11341.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Houston

Thu, Mar 26NIllinois7L 55–65
Sat, Mar 21NTexas A&M33W 88–57
Thu, Mar 19NIdaho238W 78–47
Sat, Mar 14NArizona5L 74–79
Fri, Mar 13NKansas8W 69–47

Texas Tech

Sun, Mar 22NAlabama16L 65–90
Fri, Mar 20NAkron100W 91–71
Thu, Mar 12NIowa St.6L 53–75
Sat, Mar 7ABYU28L 76–82
Tue, Mar 3HTCU50L 65–73