Model line
Arizona −14.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona 93%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Arizona home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Arizona a 14.3-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
TCU offense vs Arizona defense
| TCU O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs TCU defense
| Arizona O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
