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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Kansas · #8 · B12 · 0–0Houston · #4 · B12 · 0–0Mon, Feb 1 · 9:00 PM ETESPNFertitta Center · Houston, TX
Model line
Houston −7.2
Win probability
Houston 77%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Houston home
23%Win probability77%

The model makes Houston a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Kansas offense vs Houston defense

Kansas OStatHouston D
68.3#186Tempo#33264.9
51.3#182eFG%#1246.0
15.4#98TOV%#1320.7
29.3#225ORB%#17230.2
32.2#255FT rate#27738.6
8.2#70Block%#3512.6
52.7#170Assist%#21253.4
51.0#2122P%#945.2
34.6#1423P%#4531.4
76.9#35FT%—
35.5#2593PA rate#11341.4

Houston offense vs Kansas defense

Houston OStatKansas D
64.9#332Tempo#18668.3
52.2#138eFG%#245.1
12.9#5TOV%#33913.9
36.0#26ORB%#16330.1
27.0#351FT rate#3027.7
6.3#6Block%#715.3
52.0#192Assist%#5347.3
52.0#1672P%#344.5
34.9#1263P%#2230.5
77.2#29FT%—
40.5#1563PA rate#10841.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Kansas

Sun, Mar 22NSt. John's25L 65–67
Fri, Mar 20NCal Baptist216W 68–60
Fri, Mar 13NHouston4L 47–69
Thu, Mar 12NTCU50W 78–73
Sat, Mar 7HKansas St.96W 104–85

Houston

Thu, Mar 26NIllinois7L 55–65
Sat, Mar 21NTexas A&M33W 88–57
Thu, Mar 19NIdaho238W 78–47
Sat, Mar 14NArizona5L 74–79
Fri, Mar 13NKansas8W 69–47