Model line
Houston −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 87%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
87%Win probability13%
The model makes Houston a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston offense vs Rutgers defense
| Houston O | Stat | Rutgers D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #27166.5 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #27253.0 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #14517.1 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #30033.1 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #9331.4 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #1569.7 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #32758.5 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #22152.5 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #29735.8 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #20439.0 |
Rutgers offense vs Houston defense
| Rutgers O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#271 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 47.5#328 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 15.1#70 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 29.8#211 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 36.1#148 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 9.8#225 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 50.6#230 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 46.6#337 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 32.8#240 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 74.1#129 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#284 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
Rutgers
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Creighton36 | L 69–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UCLA18 | L 59–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Minnesota63 | W 72–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Penn St.90 | W 74–62 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Michigan St.9 | L 87–91 |
