Model line
Providence −14.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Providence 94%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Providence home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Providence a 14.5-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Butler offense vs Providence defense
| Butler O | Stat | Providence D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#93 | Tempo | #2172.3 |
| 50.9#197 | eFG% | #17851.4 |
| 15.9#127 | TOV% | #35313.1 |
| 34.6#56 | ORB% | #19430.8 |
| 42.1#28 | FT rate | #12732.7 |
| 11.9#337 | Block% | #1629.6 |
| 57.2#68 | Assist% | #24554.7 |
| 51.9#170 | 2P% | #11750.4 |
| 32.7#243 | 3P% | #26635.3 |
| 71.9#209 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#275 | 3PA rate | #21538.5 |
Providence offense vs Butler defense
| Providence O | Stat | Butler D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#21 | Tempo | #9370.0 |
| 55.0#41 | eFG% | #20451.9 |
| 16.7#178 | TOV% | #27415.1 |
| 31.7#137 | ORB% | #15630.0 |
| 36.7#139 | FT rate | #624.9 |
| 8.6#115 | Block% | #2598.0 |
| 47.5#294 | Assist% | #21753.7 |
| 55.3#52 | 2P% | #24253.1 |
| 36.4#44 | 3P% | #13733.3 |
| 75.7#61 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#159 | 3PA rate | #24837.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Butler
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Providence43 | L 81–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | DePaul62 | W 81–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Creighton36 | L 59–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Villanova47 | L 73–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Xavier45 | W 80–75 |
Providence
| Thu, Mar 12 | A | St. John's25 | L 72–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Butler95 | W 91–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Georgetown65 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Marquette31 | L 56–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Creighton36 | W 79–76 |
