Model line
Virginia −31.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Virginia >99%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Virginia home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Virginia a 31.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Carolina offense vs Virginia defense
| Western Carolina O | Stat | Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#162 | Tempo | #27766.5 |
| 50.4#225 | eFG% | #545.5 |
| 16.8#189 | TOV% | #25515.5 |
| 35.4#39 | ORB% | #10329.0 |
| 31.3#275 | FT rate | #12132.6 |
| 7.7#46 | Block% | #217.5 |
| 44.3#344 | Assist% | #11850.1 |
| 50.6#232 | 2P% | #644.6 |
| 33.5#197 | 3P% | #4331.3 |
| 71.4#228 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#149 | 3PA rate | #24437.9 |
Virginia offense vs Western Carolina defense
| Virginia O | Stat | Western Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#277 | Tempo | #16268.8 |
| 54.9#45 | eFG% | #32854.9 |
| 16.1#149 | TOV% | #32314.5 |
| 37.9#10 | ORB% | #2326.3 |
| 32.9#237 | FT rate | #25737.8 |
| 9.7#215 | Block% | #3047.3 |
| 58.7#47 | Assist% | #7048.1 |
| 55.2#54 | 2P% | #30754.8 |
| 36.3#48 | 3P% | #33836.7 |
| 73.1#167 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#40 | 3PA rate | #5143.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 67–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mercer227 | W 77–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Furman147 | W 86–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Mercer227 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | VMI344 | W 81–62 |
Virginia
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Tennessee11 | L 72–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Wright St.150 | W 82–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Duke1 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Miami FL13 | W 84–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | NC State54 | W 81–74 |
