Model line
Virginia −32.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Virginia >99%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Virginia home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Virginia a 32.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Old Dominion offense vs Virginia defense
| Old Dominion O | Stat | Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#81 | Tempo | #27766.5 |
| 50.7#203 | eFG% | #545.5 |
| 15.4#100 | TOV% | #25515.5 |
| 26.0#322 | ORB% | #10329.0 |
| 34.7#192 | FT rate | #12132.6 |
| 11.1#309 | Block% | #217.5 |
| 49.0#265 | Assist% | #11850.1 |
| 48.8#287 | 2P% | #644.6 |
| 36.0#59 | 3P% | #4331.3 |
| 73.3#159 | FT% | — |
| 36.2#244 | 3PA rate | #24437.9 |
Virginia offense vs Old Dominion defense
| Virginia O | Stat | Old Dominion D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#277 | Tempo | #8170.3 |
| 54.9#45 | eFG% | #14650.8 |
| 16.1#149 | TOV% | #32014.5 |
| 37.9#10 | ORB% | #17830.3 |
| 32.9#237 | FT rate | #32142.0 |
| 9.7#215 | Block% | #2568.1 |
| 58.7#47 | Assist% | #15651.4 |
| 55.2#54 | 2P% | #21652.4 |
| 36.3#48 | 3P% | #6432.0 |
| 73.1#167 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#40 | 3PA rate | #27836.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Old Dominion
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 87–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Georgia St.205 | W 81–73 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Marshall241 | L 88–97 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Southern Miss236 | L 81–86 |
Virginia
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Tennessee11 | L 72–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Wright St.150 | W 82–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Duke1 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Miami FL13 | W 84–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | NC State54 | W 81–74 |
