Model line
Virginia −34.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Virginia >99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Virginia home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Virginia a 34.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northeastern offense vs Virginia defense
| Northeastern O | Stat | Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#104 | Tempo | #27766.5 |
| 52.4#128 | eFG% | #545.5 |
| 16.4#159 | TOV% | #25515.5 |
| 27.3#287 | ORB% | #10329.0 |
| 29.4#324 | FT rate | #12132.6 |
| 9.5#187 | Block% | #217.5 |
| 55.7#96 | Assist% | #11850.1 |
| 53.6#103 | 2P% | #644.6 |
| 33.7#188 | 3P% | #4331.3 |
| 69.0#298 | FT% | — |
| 37.8#217 | 3PA rate | #24437.9 |
Virginia offense vs Northeastern defense
| Virginia O | Stat | Northeastern D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#277 | Tempo | #10469.7 |
| 54.9#45 | eFG% | #35156.4 |
| 16.1#149 | TOV% | #16716.8 |
| 37.9#10 | ORB% | #17430.2 |
| 32.9#237 | FT rate | #32041.9 |
| 9.7#215 | Block% | #2558.1 |
| 58.7#47 | Assist% | #11950.2 |
| 55.2#54 | 2P% | #35057.8 |
| 36.3#48 | 3P% | #29635.8 |
| 73.1#167 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#40 | 3PA rate | #31435.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northeastern
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drexel256 | L 77–84 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | North Carolina A&T300 | W 88–72 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Monmouth193 | L 83–89 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Hampton221 | L 65–76 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | William & Mary201 | L 77–84 |
Virginia
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Tennessee11 | L 72–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Wright St.150 | W 82–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Duke1 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Miami FL13 | W 84–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | NC State54 | W 81–74 |
