Model line
Virginia −33.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Virginia >99%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
Virginia home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Virginia a 33.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Drexel offense vs Virginia defense
| Drexel O | Stat | Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#326 | Tempo | #27766.5 |
| 50.7#200 | eFG% | #545.5 |
| 19.0#321 | TOV% | #25515.5 |
| 31.2#155 | ORB% | #10329.0 |
| 31.6#265 | FT rate | #12132.6 |
| 9.3#160 | Block% | #217.5 |
| 53.6#148 | Assist% | #11850.1 |
| 49.0#283 | 2P% | #644.6 |
| 35.5#90 | 3P% | #4331.3 |
| 66.5#348 | FT% | — |
| 40.0#171 | 3PA rate | #24437.9 |
Virginia offense vs Drexel defense
| Virginia O | Stat | Drexel D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#277 | Tempo | #32665.2 |
| 54.9#45 | eFG% | #2247.1 |
| 16.1#149 | TOV% | #19216.4 |
| 37.9#10 | ORB% | #20131.0 |
| 32.9#237 | FT rate | #19235.4 |
| 9.7#215 | Block% | #1669.5 |
| 58.7#47 | Assist% | #5247.3 |
| 55.2#54 | 2P% | #4247.9 |
| 36.3#48 | 3P% | #1130.3 |
| 73.1#167 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#40 | 3PA rate | #33334.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Drexel
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Monmouth193 | L 57–65 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Northeastern252 | W 84–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Hofstra148 | L 51–62 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Campbell260 | W 65–60 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Towson179 | W 68–62 |
Virginia
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Tennessee11 | L 72–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Wright St.150 | W 82–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Duke1 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Miami FL13 | W 84–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | NC State54 | W 81–74 |
