Model line
LSU −9.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes LSU a 9.6-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| High Point O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#44 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 54.5#52 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 12.8#3 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 31.8#131 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 40.8#52 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 10.7#282 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 52.8#169 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 57.0#31 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 34.2#160 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 74.3#112 | FT% | — |
| 43.6#100 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
| LSU O | Stat | High Point D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #4471.2 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #12550.5 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #721.3 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #20731.1 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #19635.5 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #10610.6 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #17052.0 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #16451.5 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #9332.6 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #14140.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Liberty149 | W 72–57 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Arkansas23 | L 88–94 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Wisconsin35 | W 83–82 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Winthrop239 | W 91–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | UNC Asheville291 | W 75–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |