Model line
Rider −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Rider 73%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Rider home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Rider a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Canisius offense vs Rider defense
| Canisius O | Stat | Rider D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.3#349 | Tempo | #30965.7 |
| 46.3#348 | eFG% | #33755.2 |
| 19.6#340 | TOV% | #26915.3 |
| 29.3#224 | ORB% | #29232.8 |
| 31.4#270 | FT rate | #11632.5 |
| 9.7#206 | Block% | #1769.3 |
| 55.4#103 | Assist% | #23754.4 |
| 44.0#359 | 2P% | #27954.0 |
| 33.3#207 | 3P% | #35637.9 |
| 71.9#210 | FT% | — |
| 39.5#181 | 3PA rate | #16539.9 |
Rider offense vs Canisius defense
| Rider O | Stat | Canisius D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#309 | Tempo | #34964.3 |
| 42.8#365 | eFG% | #22452.2 |
| 16.9#195 | TOV% | #22316.0 |
| 32.6#102 | ORB% | #14729.8 |
| 30.1#307 | FT rate | #18335.2 |
| 8.3#82 | Block% | #2258.5 |
| 44.3#342 | Assist% | #29356.5 |
| 43.3#362 | 2P% | #28554.3 |
| 27.7#365 | 3P% | #11833.0 |
| 70.1#272 | FT% | — |
| 27.5#361 | 3PA rate | #4544.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Canisius
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Quinnipiac249 | L 63–67 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Merrimack211 | W 67–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–68 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Rider355 | W 72–66 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Manhattan331 | L 65–69 |
Rider
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Iona222 | L 58–80 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Niagara318 | W 67–62 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Canisius339 | L 66–72 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 75–86 |
