Model line
Mount St. Mary's −10.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mount St. Mary's 86%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Mount St. Mary's home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Mount St. Mary's a 10.2-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Canisius offense vs Mount St. Mary's defense
| Canisius O | Stat | Mount St. Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.3#349 | Tempo | #21567.7 |
| 46.3#348 | eFG% | #2347.2 |
| 19.6#340 | TOV% | #26615.3 |
| 29.3#224 | ORB% | #11429.1 |
| 31.4#270 | FT rate | #24737.3 |
| 9.7#206 | Block% | #2009.0 |
| 55.4#103 | Assist% | #19852.9 |
| 44.0#359 | 2P% | #1646.2 |
| 33.3#207 | 3P% | #7932.3 |
| 71.9#210 | FT% | — |
| 39.5#181 | 3PA rate | #3344.9 |
Mount St. Mary's offense vs Canisius defense
| Mount St. Mary's O | Stat | Canisius D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#215 | Tempo | #34964.3 |
| 50.6#208 | eFG% | #22452.2 |
| 22.4#364 | TOV% | #22316.0 |
| 32.3#112 | ORB% | #14729.8 |
| 33.3#231 | FT rate | #18335.2 |
| 8.5#102 | Block% | #2258.5 |
| 55.2#109 | Assist% | #29356.5 |
| 51.8#175 | 2P% | #28554.3 |
| 32.7#246 | 3P% | #11833.0 |
| 67.4#335 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#123 | 3PA rate | #4544.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Canisius
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Quinnipiac249 | L 63–67 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Merrimack211 | W 67–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–68 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Rider355 | W 72–66 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Manhattan331 | L 65–69 |
Mount St. Mary's
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Siena271 | L 58–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Fairfield231 | W 69–47 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 69–77 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Canisius339 | W 68–47 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Niagara318 | W 76–63 |
