Model line
Niagara −8.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Niagara 82%
Projected tempo
68.2
possessions
Site
Niagara home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Niagara a 8.8-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Canisius offense vs Niagara defense
| Canisius O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.3#349 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 46.3#348 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 19.6#340 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 29.3#224 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 31.4#270 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 9.7#206 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 55.4#103 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 44.0#359 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 33.3#207 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 71.9#210 | FT% | — |
| 39.5#181 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Niagara offense vs Canisius defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Canisius D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #34964.3 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #22452.2 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #22316.0 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #14729.8 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #18335.2 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #2258.5 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #29356.5 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #28554.3 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #11833.0 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #4544.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Canisius
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Quinnipiac249 | L 63–67 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Merrimack211 | W 67–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–68 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Rider355 | W 72–66 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Manhattan331 | L 65–69 |
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
