Model line
Fairfield −12.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fairfield 91%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Fairfield home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Fairfield a 12.6-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Canisius offense vs Fairfield defense
| Canisius O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.3#349 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 46.3#348 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 19.6#340 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 29.3#224 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 31.4#270 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 9.7#206 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 55.4#103 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 44.0#359 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 33.3#207 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 71.9#210 | FT% | — |
| 39.5#181 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Fairfield offense vs Canisius defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Canisius D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #34964.3 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #22452.2 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #22316.0 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #14729.8 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #18335.2 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #2258.5 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #29356.5 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #28554.3 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #11833.0 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #4544.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Canisius
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Quinnipiac249 | L 63–67 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Merrimack211 | W 67–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–68 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Rider355 | W 72–66 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Manhattan331 | L 65–69 |
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
