Model line
St. Thomas −2.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. Thomas 60%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
St. Thomas home
40%Win probability60%
The model makes St. Thomas a 2.5-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC San Diego offense vs St. Thomas defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
St. Thomas offense vs UC San Diego defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
