Model line
Utah St. −12.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes Utah St. a 12.8-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| UC San Diego O | Stat | Utah St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #19168.3 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #9149.8 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #1820.4 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #26032.0 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #27038.3 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #2338.5 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #10849.8 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #5248.5 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #21534.4 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #12641.1 |
| Utah St. O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#191 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 56.6#16 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 15.3#92 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 33.2#87 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 39.5#70 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 9.6#204 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 60.0#32 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 59.8#9 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 34.6#145 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 71.0#240 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#161 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Arizona5 | L 66–78 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Villanova47 | W 86–76 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | San Diego St.73 | W 73–62 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Nevada77 | W 79–66 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UNLV89 | W 80–60 |