Model line
UC San Diego −14.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC San Diego 93%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
UC San Diego home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes UC San Diego a 14.1-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fresno St. offense vs UC San Diego defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
UC San Diego offense vs Fresno St. defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
