Model line
Princeton −5.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Princeton 70%
Projected tempo
68.3
possessions
Site
Princeton home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Princeton a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Harvard offense vs Princeton defense
| Harvard O | Stat | Princeton D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.9#357 | Tempo | #34364.5 |
| 53.2#93 | eFG% | #21352.0 |
| 17.4#227 | TOV% | #32614.3 |
| 26.8#303 | ORB% | #8728.5 |
| 25.7#359 | FT rate | #15234.0 |
| 7.4#24 | Block% | #3336.4 |
| 56.1#87 | Assist% | #11750.1 |
| 54.0#85 | 2P% | #32255.7 |
| 34.7#137 | 3P% | #3731.1 |
| 80.8#1 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#166 | 3PA rate | #11441.4 |
Princeton offense vs Harvard defense
| Princeton O | Stat | Harvard D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#343 | Tempo | #35763.9 |
| 49.6#261 | eFG% | #12150.4 |
| 17.1#211 | TOV% | #13817.1 |
| 27.2#290 | ORB% | #7328.2 |
| 34.6#195 | FT rate | #1726.6 |
| 10.3#262 | Block% | #9610.8 |
| 55.0#114 | Assist% | #16351.7 |
| 48.6#296 | 2P% | #15951.4 |
| 33.9#180 | 3P% | #9232.6 |
| 74.8#90 | FT% | — |
| 44.5#79 | 3PA rate | #21138.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Harvard
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Penn123 | L 60–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Columbia202 | W 81–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Penn123 | L 61–64 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Princeton155 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Cornell196 | W 73–54 |
Princeton
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Yale145 | L 53–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Dartmouth304 | W 82–61 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Harvard135 | L 56–58 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Brown229 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Columbia202 | L 65–75 |
