Model line
Harvard −11.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Harvard 88%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Harvard home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Harvard a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Kentucky offense vs Harvard defense
| Northern Kentucky O | Stat | Harvard D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#58 | Tempo | #35763.9 |
| 53.2#95 | eFG% | #12150.4 |
| 16.3#156 | TOV% | #13817.1 |
| 32.2#118 | ORB% | #7328.2 |
| 35.9#157 | FT rate | #1726.6 |
| 7.7#40 | Block% | #9610.8 |
| 55.5#101 | Assist% | #16351.7 |
| 55.5#50 | 2P% | #15951.4 |
| 33.6#192 | 3P% | #9232.6 |
| 72.1#206 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#71 | 3PA rate | #21138.7 |
Harvard offense vs Northern Kentucky defense
| Harvard O | Stat | Northern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.9#357 | Tempo | #5870.9 |
| 53.2#93 | eFG% | #30454.2 |
| 17.4#227 | TOV% | #6718.6 |
| 26.8#303 | ORB% | #23331.6 |
| 25.7#359 | FT rate | #24537.2 |
| 7.4#24 | Block% | #1529.8 |
| 56.1#87 | Assist% | #18852.6 |
| 54.0#85 | 2P% | #26953.8 |
| 34.7#137 | 3P% | #33436.6 |
| 80.8#1 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#166 | 3PA rate | #22938.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Kentucky
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Wright St.150 | L 90–103 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Green Bay210 | W 96–76 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Oakland208 | W 85–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wright St.150 | L 91–92 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Cleveland St.284 | W 81–70 |
Harvard
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Penn123 | L 60–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Columbia202 | W 81–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Penn123 | L 61–64 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Princeton155 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Cornell196 | W 73–54 |
