Model line
Harvard −7.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Harvard 79%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
New Hampshire home
79%Win probability22%
The model makes Harvard a 7.5-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Harvard offense vs New Hampshire defense
| Harvard O | Stat | New Hampshire D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.9#357 | Tempo | #23567.2 |
| 53.2#93 | eFG% | #28053.4 |
| 17.4#227 | TOV% | #23315.8 |
| 26.8#303 | ORB% | #3626.9 |
| 25.7#359 | FT rate | #20635.8 |
| 7.4#24 | Block% | #3515.6 |
| 56.1#87 | Assist% | #6848.0 |
| 54.0#85 | 2P% | #30154.6 |
| 34.7#137 | 3P% | #20234.3 |
| 80.8#1 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#166 | 3PA rate | #26436.9 |
New Hampshire offense vs Harvard defense
| New Hampshire O | Stat | Harvard D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#235 | Tempo | #35763.9 |
| 46.7#343 | eFG% | #12150.4 |
| 16.5#166 | TOV% | #13817.1 |
| 25.7#328 | ORB% | #7328.2 |
| 28.5#337 | FT rate | #1726.6 |
| 11.3#322 | Block% | #9610.8 |
| 44.3#341 | Assist% | #16351.7 |
| 47.4#328 | 2P% | #15951.4 |
| 30.5#333 | 3P% | #9232.6 |
| 65.1#359 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#112 | 3PA rate | #21138.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Harvard
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Penn123 | L 60–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Columbia202 | W 81–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Penn123 | L 61–64 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Princeton155 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Cornell196 | W 73–54 |
New Hampshire
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UMBC285 | L 69–84 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Bryant320 | W 88–83 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Albany330 | L 61–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Binghamton349 | L 63–65 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Maine337 | L 58–61 |
