Model line
Fresno St. −7.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fresno St. 78%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Fresno St. a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Sacramento St. offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Sacramento St. O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#22 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 47.0#338 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 14.1#27 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 25.2#336 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 41.2#43 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 8.5#103 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 48.9#268 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 46.6#338 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 31.9#284 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 78.1#16 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#257 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs Sacramento St. defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Sacramento St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #2272.3 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #33155.0 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #14617.1 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #30633.4 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #21636.2 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #2727.8 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #31557.9 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #34056.8 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #26035.2 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #5043.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Sacramento St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho238 | L 45–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Idaho St.327 | W 83–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Montana St.134 | L 61–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Montana228 | L 73–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Idaho238 | L 80–86 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
