Model line
Fresno St. −7.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fresno St. 77%
Projected tempo
73.4
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes Fresno St. a 7.0-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Northridge offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Cal St. Northridge O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.3#3 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 51.3#181 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 17.5#234 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 31.9#127 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 34.2#201 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 10.1#244 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 56.6#75 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 52.6#144 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 32.4#258 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 66.8#344 | FT% | — |
| 33.6#307 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs Cal St. Northridge defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Cal St. Northridge D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #375.3 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #19051.6 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #19116.4 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #2626.6 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #16034.3 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #2098.7 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #31257.9 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #17551.7 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #20934.4 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #748.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Northridge
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UC Irvine109 | L 78–93 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UC San Diego102 | W 80–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 77–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 86–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Riverside223 | L 84–95 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
