Model line
Princeton −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Princeton 62%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Dartmouth home
62%Win probability38%
The model makes Princeton a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Princeton offense vs Dartmouth defense
| Princeton O | Stat | Dartmouth D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#343 | Tempo | #13169.2 |
| 49.6#261 | eFG% | #25252.7 |
| 17.1#211 | TOV% | #34113.8 |
| 27.2#290 | ORB% | #14429.7 |
| 34.6#195 | FT rate | #7930.7 |
| 10.3#262 | Block% | #1749.3 |
| 55.0#114 | Assist% | #13550.8 |
| 48.6#296 | 2P% | #24453.2 |
| 33.9#180 | 3P% | #22234.6 |
| 74.8#90 | FT% | — |
| 44.5#79 | 3PA rate | #19239.2 |
Dartmouth offense vs Princeton defense
| Dartmouth O | Stat | Princeton D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#131 | Tempo | #34364.5 |
| 51.8#154 | eFG% | #21352.0 |
| 17.6#242 | TOV% | #32614.3 |
| 23.7#347 | ORB% | #8728.5 |
| 38.0#102 | FT rate | #15234.0 |
| 10.4#264 | Block% | #3336.4 |
| 53.9#139 | Assist% | #11750.1 |
| 49.4#271 | 2P% | #32255.7 |
| 36.1#53 | 3P% | #3731.1 |
| 74.2#119 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#22 | 3PA rate | #11441.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Princeton
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Yale145 | L 53–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Dartmouth304 | W 82–61 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Harvard135 | L 56–58 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Brown229 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Columbia202 | L 65–75 |
Dartmouth
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cornell196 | L 90–111 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Princeton155 | L 61–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Penn123 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Columbia202 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Brown229 | L 76–79 |
