Model line
Yale −2.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Yale 60%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Dartmouth home
60%Win probability41%
The model makes Yale a 2.3-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Yale offense vs Dartmouth defense
| Yale O | Stat | Dartmouth D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #13169.2 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #25252.7 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #34113.8 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #14429.7 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #7930.7 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #1749.3 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #13550.8 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #24453.2 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #22234.6 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #19239.2 |
Dartmouth offense vs Yale defense
| Dartmouth O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#131 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 51.8#154 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 17.6#242 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 23.7#347 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 38.0#102 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 10.4#264 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 53.9#139 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 49.4#271 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 36.1#53 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 74.2#119 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#22 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
Dartmouth
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cornell196 | L 90–111 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Princeton155 | L 61–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Penn123 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Columbia202 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Brown229 | L 76–79 |
