Model line
Marist −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marist 87%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Marist home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Marist a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Canisius offense vs Marist defense
| Canisius O | Stat | Marist D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.3#349 | Tempo | #26966.5 |
| 46.3#348 | eFG% | #645.6 |
| 19.6#340 | TOV% | #3519.5 |
| 29.3#224 | ORB% | #8328.3 |
| 31.4#270 | FT rate | #25437.6 |
| 9.7#206 | Block% | #1999.0 |
| 55.4#103 | Assist% | #3846.3 |
| 44.0#359 | 2P% | #2947.1 |
| 33.3#207 | 3P% | #228.6 |
| 71.9#210 | FT% | — |
| 39.5#181 | 3PA rate | #26936.8 |
Marist offense vs Canisius defense
| Marist O | Stat | Canisius D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#269 | Tempo | #34964.3 |
| 49.3#278 | eFG% | #22452.2 |
| 16.9#193 | TOV% | #22316.0 |
| 29.1#232 | ORB% | #14729.8 |
| 25.7#360 | FT rate | #18335.2 |
| 8.3#77 | Block% | #2258.5 |
| 58.9#44 | Assist% | #29356.5 |
| 49.8#261 | 2P% | #28554.3 |
| 32.2#271 | 3P% | #11833.0 |
| 78.1#15 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#283 | 3PA rate | #4544.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Canisius
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Quinnipiac249 | L 63–67 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Merrimack211 | W 67–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–68 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Rider355 | W 72–66 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Manhattan331 | L 65–69 |
Marist
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Merrimack211 | L 57–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Quinnipiac249 | W 77–75 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Saint Peter's298 | L 56–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Sacred Heart310 | W 65–63 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Manhattan331 | W 84–70 |
