Model line
Harvard −5.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Harvard 71%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Dartmouth home
71%Win probability29%
The model makes Harvard a 5.4-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Harvard offense vs Dartmouth defense
| Harvard O | Stat | Dartmouth D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.9#357 | Tempo | #13169.2 |
| 53.2#93 | eFG% | #25252.7 |
| 17.4#227 | TOV% | #34113.8 |
| 26.8#303 | ORB% | #14429.7 |
| 25.7#359 | FT rate | #7930.7 |
| 7.4#24 | Block% | #1749.3 |
| 56.1#87 | Assist% | #13550.8 |
| 54.0#85 | 2P% | #24453.2 |
| 34.7#137 | 3P% | #22234.6 |
| 80.8#1 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#166 | 3PA rate | #19239.2 |
Dartmouth offense vs Harvard defense
| Dartmouth O | Stat | Harvard D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#131 | Tempo | #35763.9 |
| 51.8#154 | eFG% | #12150.4 |
| 17.6#242 | TOV% | #13817.1 |
| 23.7#347 | ORB% | #7328.2 |
| 38.0#102 | FT rate | #1726.6 |
| 10.4#264 | Block% | #9610.8 |
| 53.9#139 | Assist% | #16351.7 |
| 49.4#271 | 2P% | #15951.4 |
| 36.1#53 | 3P% | #9232.6 |
| 74.2#119 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#22 | 3PA rate | #21138.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Harvard
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Penn123 | L 60–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Columbia202 | W 81–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Penn123 | L 61–64 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Princeton155 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Cornell196 | W 73–54 |
Dartmouth
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cornell196 | L 90–111 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Princeton155 | L 61–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Penn123 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Columbia202 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Brown229 | L 76–79 |
