Model line
Marist −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marist 84%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Marist home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Marist a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Dartmouth offense vs Marist defense
| Dartmouth O | Stat | Marist D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#131 | Tempo | #26966.5 |
| 51.8#154 | eFG% | #645.6 |
| 17.6#242 | TOV% | #3519.5 |
| 23.7#347 | ORB% | #8328.3 |
| 38.0#102 | FT rate | #25437.6 |
| 10.4#264 | Block% | #1999.0 |
| 53.9#139 | Assist% | #3846.3 |
| 49.4#271 | 2P% | #2947.1 |
| 36.1#53 | 3P% | #228.6 |
| 74.2#119 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#22 | 3PA rate | #26936.8 |
Marist offense vs Dartmouth defense
| Marist O | Stat | Dartmouth D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#269 | Tempo | #13169.2 |
| 49.3#278 | eFG% | #25252.7 |
| 16.9#193 | TOV% | #34113.8 |
| 29.1#232 | ORB% | #14429.7 |
| 25.7#360 | FT rate | #7930.7 |
| 8.3#77 | Block% | #1749.3 |
| 58.9#44 | Assist% | #13550.8 |
| 49.8#261 | 2P% | #24453.2 |
| 32.2#271 | 3P% | #22234.6 |
| 78.1#15 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#283 | 3PA rate | #19239.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Dartmouth
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cornell196 | L 90–111 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Princeton155 | L 61–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Penn123 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Columbia202 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Brown229 | L 76–79 |
Marist
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Merrimack211 | L 57–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Quinnipiac249 | W 77–75 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Saint Peter's298 | L 56–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Sacred Heart310 | W 65–63 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Manhattan331 | W 84–70 |
