Model line
VCU −1.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
VCU 58%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
58%Win probability42%
The model makes VCU a 1.8-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VCU offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| VCU O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#138 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 53.6#84 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 15.1#74 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 31.6#141 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 42.0#31 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 8.9#141 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 51.9#193 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 53.0#131 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 36.3#47 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 73.6#151 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#97 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Mississippi St. offense vs VCU defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | VCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #13869.2 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #7049.0 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #15917.0 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #16230.0 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #12932.8 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #8111.2 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #14050.8 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #5748.7 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #12133.0 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #31635.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–76 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Carolina39 | W 82–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Dayton67 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | W 77–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duquesne128 | W 71–66 |
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
