Model line
VCU −33.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
VCU >99%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
VCU home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes VCU a 33.8-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Carolina Central offense vs VCU defense
| North Carolina Central O | Stat | VCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#257 | Tempo | #13869.2 |
| 47.5#327 | eFG% | #7049.0 |
| 18.1#280 | TOV% | #15917.0 |
| 30.0#200 | ORB% | #16230.0 |
| 39.3#72 | FT rate | #12932.8 |
| 12.4#346 | Block% | #8111.2 |
| 52.7#172 | Assist% | #14050.8 |
| 46.7#334 | 2P% | #5748.7 |
| 32.6#251 | 3P% | #12133.0 |
| 73.8#141 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#298 | 3PA rate | #31635.1 |
VCU offense vs North Carolina Central defense
| VCU O | Stat | North Carolina Central D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#138 | Tempo | #25766.7 |
| 53.6#84 | eFG% | #31654.5 |
| 15.1#74 | TOV% | #2619.9 |
| 31.6#141 | ORB% | #36439.4 |
| 42.0#31 | FT rate | #23336.9 |
| 8.9#141 | Block% | #13710.0 |
| 51.9#193 | Assist% | #32258.2 |
| 53.0#131 | 2P% | #29654.5 |
| 36.3#47 | 3P% | #32136.4 |
| 73.6#151 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#97 | 3PA rate | #14240.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Carolina Central
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Howard164 | L 63–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Delaware St.361 | W 59–53 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 83–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Carolina St.356 | L 64–80 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 77–73 |
VCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–76 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Carolina39 | W 82–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Dayton67 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | W 77–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duquesne128 | W 71–66 |
