Model line
VCU −16.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
VCU 96%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
VCU home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes VCU a 16.9-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Little Rock offense vs VCU defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | VCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#125 | Tempo | #13270.9 |
| 46.6#158 | eFG% | #8646.6 |
| 22.6#186 | TOV% | #5722.6 |
| 38.2#58 | ORB% | #18638.2 |
| 35.6#120 | FT rate | #12335.6 |
| 7.0#82 | Block% | #1627.0 |
| 28.0#240 | Assist% | #428.0 |
| 46.5#171 | 2P% | #7246.5 |
| 31.2#129 | 3P% | #11531.2 |
| 81.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 27.1#228 | 3PA rate | #22927.1 |
VCU offense vs Little Rock defense
| VCU O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#132 | Tempo | #12570.9 |
| 46.2#162 | eFG% | #8246.2 |
| 18.3#127 | TOV% | #11718.3 |
| 40.9#40 | ORB% | #20340.9 |
| 92.3#1 | FT rate | #24292.3 |
| 14.8#194 | Block% | #5014.8 |
| 55.0#116 | Assist% | #12855.0 |
| 44.4#183 | 2P% | #6144.4 |
| 32.0#121 | 3P% | #12232.0 |
| 70.8#109 | FT% | — |
| 48.1#56 | 3PA rate | #5548.1 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Little Rock
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | VCU63 | L 72–82 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood331 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana328 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.335 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri254 | L 65–70 |
VCU
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Little Rock222 | W 82–72 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Illinois2 | L 55–76 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Carolina50 | W 82–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Dayton64 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Joseph's124 | W 77–64 |
