Model line
Saint Joseph's −18.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Joseph's 97%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Saint Joseph's home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Saint Joseph's a 18.3-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Lafayette offense vs Saint Joseph's defense
| Lafayette O | Stat | Saint Joseph's D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#250 | Tempo | #19968.0 |
| 49.3#277 | eFG% | #2947.4 |
| 15.3#87 | TOV% | #27115.2 |
| 25.8#326 | ORB% | #19730.9 |
| 32.4#251 | FT rate | #1626.5 |
| 10.5#273 | Block% | #3612.6 |
| 55.4#104 | Assist% | #16451.7 |
| 50.0#252 | 2P% | #3847.5 |
| 32.2#269 | 3P% | #4931.5 |
| 68.9#300 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#175 | 3PA rate | #15940.2 |
Saint Joseph's offense vs Lafayette defense
| Saint Joseph's O | Stat | Lafayette D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#199 | Tempo | #25066.9 |
| 49.2#284 | eFG% | #28853.6 |
| 17.0#203 | TOV% | #27915.1 |
| 31.6#140 | ORB% | #9028.6 |
| 30.5#297 | FT rate | #7530.6 |
| 11.2#317 | Block% | #3326.4 |
| 60.0#31 | Assist% | #33259.0 |
| 51.7#184 | 2P% | #25053.4 |
| 30.8#325 | 3P% | #30236.0 |
| 74.3#116 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#64 | 3PA rate | #23238.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Lafayette
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 77–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Army346 | W 83–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colgate207 | W 70–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | American198 | L 61–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 86–83 |
Saint Joseph's
| Tue, Mar 24 | A | New Mexico66 | L 69–84 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | California94 | W 76–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Colorado St.83 | W 69–64 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | VCU53 | L 64–77 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Davidson121 | W 70–58 |
