Model line
South Dakota −4.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
South Dakota 67%
Projected tempo
73.2
possessions
Site
South Dakota home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes South Dakota a 4.2-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Fullerton offense vs South Dakota defense
| Cal St. Fullerton O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.5#2 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 51.4#174 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 15.2#76 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 24.6#345 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 37.8#106 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 8.5#99 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 55.2#108 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 51.4#197 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 34.2#159 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 71.6#215 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#108 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
South Dakota offense vs Cal St. Fullerton defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | Cal St. Fullerton D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #275.5 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #30854.3 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #3319.5 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #7928.3 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #18735.3 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #2168.6 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #33459.7 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #34357.1 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #18034.0 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #1846.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Fullerton
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Hawaii132 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UC Davis188 | W 82–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 90–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC San Diego102 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Hawaii132 | L 85–87 |
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
