Model line
Cal St. Bakersfield −7.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cal St. Bakersfield 80%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Cal St. Bakersfield home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Cal St. Bakersfield a 7.9-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Arizona offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
