Model line
Western Illinois −0.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Western Illinois 53%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Western Illinois home
47%Win probability53%
The model makes Western Illinois a 0.7-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs Western Illinois defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | Western Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #23367.3 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #30654.2 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #30114.9 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #33534.8 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #17334.8 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #3555.2 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #11249.9 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #30354.6 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #29135.6 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #32534.6 |
Western Illinois offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| Western Illinois O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#233 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 44.5#361 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 17.5#240 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 27.0#297 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 37.7#111 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 11.1#311 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 37.0#365 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 43.5#361 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 30.9#324 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 66.2#352 | FT% | — |
| 33.3#312 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
Western Illinois
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lindenwood303 | L 69–91 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | SIU Edwardsville281 | L 47–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 59–81 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Southern Indiana324 | L 70–77 |
| Thu, Feb 12 | H | Little Rock219 | L 58–77 |
