Model line
Cal St. Bakersfield −0.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cal St. Bakersfield 53%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Cal St. Bakersfield home
48%Win probability53%
The model makes Cal St. Bakersfield a 0.6-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Dakota St. offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| North Dakota St. O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#193 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 53.2#94 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 15.6#113 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 32.9#92 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 30.6#290 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 9.3#164 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 53.0#166 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 53.3#117 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 35.4#96 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 71.4#227 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#119 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs North Dakota St. defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | North Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #19368.2 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #21252.0 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #6518.7 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #1425.5 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #4729.2 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #2078.8 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #28556.1 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #24053.0 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #17733.9 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #4244.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 67–92 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota328 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 74–50 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Oral Roberts261 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Dakota328 | W 96–63 |
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
