Model line
UNLV −12.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNLV 91%
Projected tempo
73.2
possessions
Site
UNLV home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes UNLV a 12.7-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs UNLV defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | UNLV D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #6870.7 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #23252.3 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #13217.3 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #22331.4 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #35045.1 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #3312.7 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #28756.1 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #19752.0 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #26135.2 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #28036.3 |
UNLV offense vs Cal Poly defense
| UNLV O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#68 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 53.6#83 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 17.3#225 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 30.7#175 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 41.2#44 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 8.0#61 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 51.6#203 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 53.7#96 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 35.6#87 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 68.0#327 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#246 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
UNLV
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | UC Irvine109 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah St.56 | L 60–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wyoming117 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | San Diego St.73 | L 86–89 |
