Model line
Cal Poly −11.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cal Poly 89%
Projected tempo
73.0
possessions
Site
Cal Poly home
12%Win probability89%
The model makes Cal Poly a 11.4-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Montana O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#49 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 55.8#24 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 19.6#341 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 20.7#363 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 36.8#136 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 8.7#124 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 55.1#112 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 56.5#37 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 36.6#37 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 77.3#27 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#139 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Cal Poly offense vs Montana defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Montana D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #4971.1 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #12850.5 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #32514.3 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #14129.6 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #11832.6 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #3376.2 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #7748.4 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #18751.9 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #7832.3 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #23438.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Idaho238 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Portland St.209 | W 75–72 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Colorado194 | W 95–89 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 57–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Portland St.209 | W 74–68 |
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
