Model line
Cal Poly −15.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cal Poly 94%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Cal Poly home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Cal Poly a 15.0-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Arizona offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Cal Poly offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
