Model line
Montana St. −9.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Montana St. 85%
Projected tempo
72.1
possessions
Site
Montana St. home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Montana St. a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs Montana St. defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Montana St. offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
