Model line
Idaho −3.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Idaho 63%
Projected tempo
72.5
possessions
Site
Idaho home
37%Win probability63%
The model makes Idaho a 3.1-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs Idaho defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Idaho D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #14269.1 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #12650.5 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #27715.1 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #524.2 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #27338.5 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #3316.4 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #2445.1 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #7149.3 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #25835.2 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #30635.4 |
Idaho offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Idaho O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#142 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 51.4#178 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 15.0#60 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 28.4#248 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 34.6#194 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 9.0#143 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 44.6#340 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 51.6#188 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 34.1#169 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 72.6#180 | FT% | — |
| 47.0#33 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
Idaho
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Houston4 | L 47–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Montana228 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Eastern Washington156 | W 81–68 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Montana St.134 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Sacramento St.174 | W 68–45 |
