Model line
George Mason −29.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
George Mason >99%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
George Mason home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes George Mason a 29.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morgan St. offense vs George Mason defense
| Morgan St. O | Stat | George Mason D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#66 | Tempo | #33564.7 |
| 45.8#351 | eFG% | #8449.5 |
| 17.8#261 | TOV% | #26015.4 |
| 30.7#173 | ORB% | #8228.3 |
| 42.7#23 | FT rate | #4428.9 |
| 10.4#268 | Block% | #1859.1 |
| 52.2#189 | Assist% | #19752.9 |
| 44.9#355 | 2P% | #9850.0 |
| 31.7#297 | 3P% | #9132.6 |
| 74.3#113 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#272 | 3PA rate | #8642.4 |
George Mason offense vs Morgan St. defense
| George Mason O | Stat | Morgan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#335 | Tempo | #6670.7 |
| 52.7#113 | eFG% | #19651.7 |
| 15.8#120 | TOV% | #18716.5 |
| 31.3#149 | ORB% | #34335.2 |
| 41.1#46 | FT rate | #36350.9 |
| 9.8#220 | Block% | #2298.5 |
| 49.9#243 | Assist% | #29256.4 |
| 54.3#79 | 2P% | #26253.7 |
| 33.3#209 | 3P% | #4831.5 |
| 72.5#188 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#269 | 3PA rate | #35531.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morgan St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Delaware St.361 | L 70–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Coppin St.362 | W 70–66 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Norfolk St.297 | W 90–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Howard164 | L 59–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | South Carolina St.356 | W 90–83 |
George Mason
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Liberty149 | L 71–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | St. Bonaventure158 | L 57–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Saint Louis60 | W 86–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | VCU53 | L 65–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 71–58 |
