Model line
George Mason −17.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes George Mason a 17.6-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| Marist O | Stat | George Mason D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#269 | Tempo | #33564.7 |
| 49.3#278 | eFG% | #8449.5 |
| 16.9#193 | TOV% | #26015.4 |
| 29.1#232 | ORB% | #8228.3 |
| 25.7#360 | FT rate | #4428.9 |
| 8.3#77 | Block% | #1859.1 |
| 58.9#44 | Assist% | #19752.9 |
| 49.8#261 | 2P% | #9850.0 |
| 32.2#271 | 3P% | #9132.6 |
| 78.1#15 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#283 | 3PA rate | #8642.4 |
| George Mason O | Stat | Marist D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#335 | Tempo | #26966.5 |
| 52.7#113 | eFG% | #645.6 |
| 15.8#120 | TOV% | #3519.5 |
| 31.3#149 | ORB% | #8328.3 |
| 41.1#46 | FT rate | #25437.6 |
| 9.8#220 | Block% | #1999.0 |
| 49.9#243 | Assist% | #3846.3 |
| 54.3#79 | 2P% | #2947.1 |
| 33.3#209 | 3P% | #228.6 |
| 72.5#188 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#269 | 3PA rate | #26936.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Merrimack211 | L 57–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Quinnipiac249 | W 77–75 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Saint Peter's298 | L 56–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Sacred Heart310 | W 65–63 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Manhattan331 | W 84–70 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Liberty149 | L 71–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | St. Bonaventure158 | L 57–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Saint Louis60 | W 86–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | VCU53 | L 65–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 71–58 |