Model line
George Mason −28.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
George Mason >99%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
George Mason home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes George Mason a 28.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Carolina Central offense vs George Mason defense
| North Carolina Central O | Stat | George Mason D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#257 | Tempo | #33564.7 |
| 47.5#327 | eFG% | #8449.5 |
| 18.1#280 | TOV% | #26015.4 |
| 30.0#200 | ORB% | #8228.3 |
| 39.3#72 | FT rate | #4428.9 |
| 12.4#346 | Block% | #1859.1 |
| 52.7#172 | Assist% | #19752.9 |
| 46.7#334 | 2P% | #9850.0 |
| 32.6#251 | 3P% | #9132.6 |
| 73.8#141 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#298 | 3PA rate | #8642.4 |
George Mason offense vs North Carolina Central defense
| George Mason O | Stat | North Carolina Central D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#335 | Tempo | #25766.7 |
| 52.7#113 | eFG% | #31654.5 |
| 15.8#120 | TOV% | #2619.9 |
| 31.3#149 | ORB% | #36439.4 |
| 41.1#46 | FT rate | #23336.9 |
| 9.8#220 | Block% | #13710.0 |
| 49.9#243 | Assist% | #32258.2 |
| 54.3#79 | 2P% | #29654.5 |
| 33.3#209 | 3P% | #32136.4 |
| 72.5#188 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#269 | 3PA rate | #14240.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Carolina Central
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Howard164 | L 63–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Delaware St.361 | W 59–53 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 83–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Carolina St.356 | L 64–80 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 77–73 |
George Mason
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Liberty149 | L 71–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | St. Bonaventure158 | L 57–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Saint Louis60 | W 86–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | VCU53 | L 65–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 71–58 |
