Model line
George Mason −20.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
George Mason 98%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
George Mason home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes George Mason a 20.1-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UMBC offense vs George Mason defense
| UMBC O | Stat | George Mason D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #33564.7 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #8449.5 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #26015.4 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #8228.3 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #4428.9 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #1859.1 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #19752.9 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #9850.0 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #9132.6 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #8642.4 |
George Mason offense vs UMBC defense
| George Mason O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#335 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 52.7#113 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 15.8#120 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 31.3#149 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 41.1#46 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 9.8#220 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 49.9#243 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 54.3#79 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 33.3#209 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 72.5#188 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#269 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
George Mason
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Liberty149 | L 71–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | St. Bonaventure158 | L 57–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Saint Louis60 | W 86–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | VCU53 | L 65–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 71–58 |
