Model line
Wagner −7.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wagner 78%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Wagner home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Wagner a 7.4-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stonehill offense vs Wagner defense
| Stonehill O | Stat | Wagner D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#264 | Tempo | #32465.3 |
| 46.9#340 | eFG% | #12450.4 |
| 19.4#335 | TOV% | #30014.9 |
| 27.5#284 | ORB% | #14229.6 |
| 27.3#349 | FT rate | #31040.8 |
| 13.6#361 | Block% | #3296.5 |
| 51.3#210 | Assist% | #22954.1 |
| 46.5#343 | 2P% | #9749.9 |
| 31.7#298 | 3P% | #20534.3 |
| 68.5#312 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#160 | 3PA rate | #29835.8 |
Wagner offense vs Stonehill defense
| Wagner O | Stat | Stonehill D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#324 | Tempo | #26466.6 |
| 49.6#262 | eFG% | #3847.8 |
| 18.5#301 | TOV% | #34613.4 |
| 32.8#95 | ORB% | #4127.1 |
| 32.3#254 | FT rate | #6930.3 |
| 10.4#270 | Block% | #1479.9 |
| 48.9#269 | Assist% | #1544.0 |
| 46.6#339 | 2P% | #2446.7 |
| 36.6#38 | 3P% | #14733.4 |
| 72.6#185 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#247 | 3PA rate | #35132.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stonehill
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Mercyhurst294 | L 51–56 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Le Moyne319 | W 81–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Mercyhurst294 | L 72–75 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | St. Francis PA | W 103–77 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 77–68 |
Wagner
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | LIU262 | L 56–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Chicago St.347 | W 80–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Haven351 | W 65–62 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | St. Francis PA | W 65–56 |
