Model line
New Haven −4.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Haven 68%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
New Haven home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes New Haven a 4.4-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wagner offense vs New Haven defense
| Wagner O | Stat | New Haven D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#324 | Tempo | #36163.5 |
| 49.6#262 | eFG% | #20151.8 |
| 18.5#301 | TOV% | #14417.1 |
| 32.8#95 | ORB% | #3426.8 |
| 32.3#254 | FT rate | #3227.7 |
| 10.4#270 | Block% | #3416.1 |
| 48.9#269 | Assist% | #8448.9 |
| 46.6#339 | 2P% | #20052.1 |
| 36.6#38 | 3P% | #20334.3 |
| 72.6#185 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#247 | 3PA rate | #21738.4 |
New Haven offense vs Wagner defense
| New Haven O | Stat | Wagner D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5#361 | Tempo | #32465.3 |
| 48.7#297 | eFG% | #12450.4 |
| 17.8#262 | TOV% | #30014.9 |
| 21.5#359 | ORB% | #14229.6 |
| 31.7#262 | FT rate | #31040.8 |
| 7.7#39 | Block% | #3296.5 |
| 49.7#247 | Assist% | #22954.1 |
| 51.0#213 | 2P% | #9749.9 |
| 30.2#340 | 3P% | #20534.3 |
| 70.2#267 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#176 | 3PA rate | #29835.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wagner
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | LIU262 | L 56–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Chicago St.347 | W 80–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Haven351 | W 65–62 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | St. Francis PA | W 65–56 |
New Haven
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 66–59 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Wagner338 | L 62–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | St. Francis PA | L 67–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 84–77 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Stonehill350 | W 64–51 |
