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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Stonehill · #350 · NEC · 0–0Mercyhurst · #294 · NEC · 0–0Fri, Jan 8 · 7:00 PM ETMercyhurst Athletic Center · Erie, PA
Model line
Mercyhurst −10.5
Win probability
Mercyhurst 86%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Mercyhurst home
14%Win probability86%

The model makes Mercyhurst a 10.5-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Stonehill offense vs Mercyhurst defense

Stonehill OStatMercyhurst D
66.6#264Tempo#34264.5
46.9#340eFG%#10350.1
19.4#335TOV%#6418.7
27.5#284ORB%#15429.9
27.3#349FT rate#33342.6
13.6#361Block%#9011.0
51.3#210Assist%#18052.5
46.5#3432P%#13851.0
31.7#2983P%#7732.3
68.5#312FT%—
40.5#1603PA rate#33933.6

Mercyhurst offense vs Stonehill defense

Mercyhurst OStatStonehill D
64.5#342Tempo#26466.6
49.5#265eFG%#3847.8
14.3#31TOV%#34613.4
26.4#312ORB%#4127.1
25.6#361FT rate#6930.3
6.3#7Block%#1479.9
54.2#135Assist%#1544.0
50.0#2532P%#2446.7
32.1#2763P%#14733.4
74.1#126FT%—
31.1#3383PA rate#35132.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Stonehill

Sat, Mar 7AMercyhurst294L 51–56
Wed, Mar 4ALe Moyne319W 81–71
Sat, Feb 28HMercyhurst294L 72–75
Thu, Feb 26HSt. Francis PAW 103–77
Sat, Feb 21HLe Moyne319W 77–68

Mercyhurst

Tue, Mar 10ALIU262L 70–79
Sat, Mar 7HStonehill350W 56–51
Wed, Mar 4HFairleigh Dickinson345W 70–61
Sat, Feb 28AStonehill350W 75–72
Thu, Feb 26ACentral Connecticut334L 78–80